Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Mapleton 2 · Crestline 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:01 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Mapleton
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Crestline
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Mapleton -3.2
OVER/UNDER
40.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Crestline by 31.6 to Mapleton by 37.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Mapleton Style:
Offensive
Crestline Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Mapleton offense vs Crestline defense - advantage Mapleton
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
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