Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Malvern 2 · East Palestine 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Malvern
WINNER21
Range: 3.7-38.3
East Palestine
16
Range: 0-33.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Malvern -4.7
OVER/UNDER
37.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
East Palestine by 29.6 to Malvern by 38.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Malvern Style:
Offensive
East Palestine Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Malvern offense vs East Palestine defense - advantage Malvern
Insights:
- Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
- East Palestine has momentum advantage
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