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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Lima Central Catholic
Urbana

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Lima Central Catholic 2 · Urbana 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Lima Central Catholic

WINNER

26

Range: 8.7-43.3

OSPR Rating: 65.4
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 59.7%
Offensive Rating: 95.3
Defensive Rating: 75.4
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Urbana

23

Range: 5.7-40.3

OSPR Rating: 64.6
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 40.3%
Offensive Rating: 76.2
Defensive Rating: 83.2
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Lima Central Catholic -3

OVER/UNDER

48.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Urbana by 31.6 to Lima Central Catholic by 37.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Lima Central Catholic Style:

Offensive

Urbana Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Lima Central Catholic offense vs Urbana defense - advantage Lima Central Catholic

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