Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Leipsic 2 · Riverdale 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:18 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Leipsic
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
Riverdale
20
Range: 2.7-37.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Leipsic -3.9
OVER/UNDER
44 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Riverdale by 30.6 to Leipsic by 38.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Leipsic Style:
Defensive
Riverdale Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Leipsic defense vs Riverdale offense - advantage Leipsic
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- Leipsic has momentum advantage
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