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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

La Salle
Kettering Fairmont

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

LaSalle 2 · Fairmont 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:00 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

La Salle

WINNER

28

Range: 10.7-45.3

OSPR Rating: 62.7
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 82.8%
Offensive Rating: 70.0
Defensive Rating: 72.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Kettering Fairmont

16

Range: 0-33.3

OSPR Rating: 39.4
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 17.2%
Offensive Rating: 23.1
Defensive Rating: 65.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

LaSalle -11.8

OVER/UNDER

43.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

44 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Fairmont by 22.6 to LaSalle by 45.3

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

LaSalle Style:

Balanced

Fairmont Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

LaSalle defense vs Fairmont offense - advantage LaSalle

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors LaSalle
  • LaSalle has momentum advantage

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