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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Lakewood
Harvey

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Lakewood 2 · hARVEY 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Lakewood

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 59.7
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 43.9%
Offensive Rating: 53.1
Defensive Rating: 57.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Harvey

WINNER

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 48.5
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 56.1%
Offensive Rating: 66.9
Defensive Rating: 15.4
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

hARVEY -1.8

OVER/UNDER

41.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

hARVEY by 36.6 to Lakewood by 32.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Lakewood Style:

Balanced

hARVEY Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Lakewood offense vs hARVEY defense - advantage Lakewood

Insights:

  • Lakewood has momentum advantage

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