Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Hebron Lakewood 2 · Fairfield Union 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:44 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Lakewood
17
Range: 0-34.3
Fairfield Union
WINNER20
Range: 2.7-37.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Fairfield Union -3.3
OVER/UNDER
36.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Fairfield Union by 37.3 to Hebron Lakewood by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Hebron Lakewood Style:
Balanced
Fairfield Union Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Fairfield Union defense vs Hebron Lakewood offense - advantage Fairfield Union
Insights:
- Fairfield Union has momentum advantage
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