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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Lake
Rocky River

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Uniontown Lake 2 · Rocky River 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Lake

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 60.2
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 39.2%
Offensive Rating: 48.1
Defensive Rating: 68.5
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Rocky River

WINNER

25

Range: 7.7-42.3

OSPR Rating: 64.2
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 60.8%
Offensive Rating: 88.7
Defensive Rating: 89.7
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Rocky River -3.3

OVER/UNDER

47 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Rocky River by 37.6 to Uniontown Lake by 31.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Uniontown Lake Style:

Defensive

Rocky River Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Rocky River defense vs Uniontown Lake offense - advantage Rocky River

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