Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Millbury Lake 2 · Evergreen 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Lake
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
Evergreen
17
Range: 0-34.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Millbury Lake -7.1
OVER/UNDER
41 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Evergreen by 27.6 to Millbury Lake by 41.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Millbury Lake Style:
Offensive
Evergreen Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Evergreen offense vs Millbury Lake defense - advantage Evergreen
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Evergreen has momentum advantage
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