Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Jonathan Alder 2 · Bloom-Carroll 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:44 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Jonathan Alder
WINNER26
Range: 8.7-43.3
Bloom-Carroll
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Jonathan Alder -7.8
OVER/UNDER
43.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Bloom-Carroll by 26.6 to Jonathan Alder by 42.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Jonathan Alder Style:
Balanced
Bloom-Carroll Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Jonathan Alder defense vs Bloom-Carroll offense - advantage Jonathan Alder
Insights:
- Jonathan Alder has momentum advantage
Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.
