Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Jackson-Milton 2 · Ashtabula St. John 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Jackson-Milton
WINNER21
Range: 3.7-38.3
St John School
20
Range: 2.7-37.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Jackson-Milton -0.4
OVER/UNDER
40.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Ashtabula St. John by 33.6 to Jackson-Milton by 35.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Jackson-Milton Style:
Balanced
Ashtabula St. John Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Ashtabula St. John defense vs Jackson-Milton offense - advantage Ashtabula St. John
Insights:
- Ashtabula St. John has momentum advantage
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