Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Indian Valley 2 · New Philadelphia 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Indian Valley
WINNER28
Range: 10.7-45.3
New Philadelphia
15
Range: 0-32.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Indian Valley -13.2
OVER/UNDER
42.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
44 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
New Philadelphia by 21.6 to Indian Valley by 45.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Indian Valley Style:
Offensive
New Philadelphia Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Indian Valley defense vs New Philadelphia offense - advantage Indian Valley
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Indian Valley
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Indian Valley has momentum advantage
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