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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Huron
Genoa Area

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Huron 2 · Genoa 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Huron

16

Range: 0-33.3

OSPR Rating: 35.4
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 25.4%
Offensive Rating: 15.9
Defensive Rating: 34.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Genoa Area

WINNER

24

Range: 6.7-41.3

OSPR Rating: 52.3
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 74.6%
Offensive Rating: 61.9
Defensive Rating: 56.3
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Genoa -8.1

OVER/UNDER

40.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Genoa by 41.3 to Huron by 26.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Huron Style:

Defensive

Genoa Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Genoa defense vs Huron offense - advantage Genoa

Insights:

  • Genoa has momentum advantage

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