Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Howland 2 · Shaw 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Howland
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Shaw
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Howland -3.4
OVER/UNDER
41.5 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Shaw by 31.6 to Howland by 37.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Howland Style:
Offensive
Shaw Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Howland offense vs Shaw defense - advantage Howland
Insights:
- Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
- Howland has momentum advantage
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