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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Howland
Shaw

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Howland 2 · Shaw 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Howland

WINNER

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 60.9
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 61.2%
Offensive Rating: 55.9
Defensive Rating: 42.9
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Shaw

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 48.8
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 38.8%
Offensive Rating: 56.6
Defensive Rating: 37.2
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Howland -3.4

OVER/UNDER

41.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Shaw by 31.6 to Howland by 37.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Howland Style:

Offensive

Shaw Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Howland offense vs Shaw defense - advantage Howland

Insights:

  • Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
  • Howland has momentum advantage

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