Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Holgate 2 · Kennedy Catholic 1
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Holgate
21
Range: 3-39
Kennedy Catholic
WINNER22
Range: 4-40
PREDICTED SPREAD
Kennedy Catholic -0.1
OVER/UNDER
42 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Kennedy Catholic by 37 to Holgate by 35
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Holgate Style:
Balanced
Kennedy Catholic Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Holgate defense vs Kennedy Catholic offense - advantage Holgate
Insights:
- Kennedy Catholic has momentum advantage
Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.