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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Warren G Harding
Perry

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Warren G. Harding 2 · Massillon Perry 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Warren G Harding

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 47.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 26.9%
Offensive Rating: 30.9
Defensive Rating: 46.0
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Perry

WINNER

25

Range: 7.7-42.3

OSPR Rating: 65.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 73.1%
Offensive Rating: 78.4
Defensive Rating: 79.4
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Massillon Perry -7.5

OVER/UNDER

43.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Massillon Perry by 41.6 to Warren G. Harding by 27.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Warren G. Harding Style:

Defensive

Massillon Perry Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Massillon Perry defense vs Warren G. Harding offense - advantage Massillon Perry

Insights:

  • Massillon Perry has momentum advantage

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