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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Green
Manchester

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Franklin Furnace Green 2 · Manchester 1

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Green

WINNER

23

Range: 5-41

OSPR Rating: 45.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 71.4%
Offensive Rating: 54.7
Defensive Rating: 24.7
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Manchester

16

Range: 0-34

OSPR Rating: 36.2
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 28.6%
Offensive Rating: 21.5
Defensive Rating: 29.8
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Franklin Furnace Green -6.9

OVER/UNDER

38.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Manchester by 29 to Franklin Furnace Green by 41

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Franklin Furnace Green Style:

Offensive

Manchester Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Franklin Furnace Green offense vs Manchester defense - advantage Franklin Furnace Green

Insights:

  • Manchester has momentum advantage

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