Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Graham Local 2 · Covington 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Graham Local
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
Covington
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Graham Local -6.5
OVER/UNDER
44 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Covington by 28.6 to Graham Local by 40.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Graham Local Style:
Offensive
Covington Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Graham Local offense vs Covington defense - advantage Graham Local
Insights:
- Graham Local has momentum advantage
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