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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Garfield
Springfield

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Garrettsville Garfield 2 · NM Springfield 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:34 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Garfield

WINNER

25

Range: 7.7-42.3

OSPR Rating: 61.3
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 70.8%
Offensive Rating: 88.4
Defensive Rating: 49.4
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Springfield

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 50.5
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 29.2%
Offensive Rating: 55.3
Defensive Rating: 46.3
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Garrettsville Garfield -6.6

OVER/UNDER

44 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

NM Springfield by 28.6 to Garrettsville Garfield by 40.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Garrettsville Garfield Style:

Offensive

NM Springfield Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Garrettsville Garfield offense vs NM Springfield defense - advantage Garrettsville Garfield

Insights:

  • Garrettsville Garfield has momentum advantage

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