Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Firestone 2 · Lutheran East 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Firestone
WINNER18
Range: 0.7-35.3
Lutheran East
17
Range: 0-34.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Firestone -1.3
OVER/UNDER
35 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Lutheran East by 33.6 to Firestone by 35.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Firestone Style:
Balanced
Lutheran East Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Lutheran East defense vs Firestone offense - advantage Lutheran East
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