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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Firestone
Lutheran East

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Firestone 2 · Lutheran East 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Firestone

WINNER

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 34.2
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 54.3%
Offensive Rating: 17.2
Defensive Rating: 7.2
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Lutheran East

17

Range: 0-34.3

OSPR Rating: 37.6
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 45.7%
Offensive Rating: 9.2
Defensive Rating: 23.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Firestone -1.3

OVER/UNDER

35 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Lutheran East by 33.6 to Firestone by 35.3

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Firestone Style:

Balanced

Lutheran East Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Lutheran East defense vs Firestone offense - advantage Lutheran East

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