Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Federal Hocking 2 · Millersport 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Federal Hocking
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Millersport
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Federal Hocking -2.5
OVER/UNDER
41 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Millersport by 31.6 to Federal Hocking by 37.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Federal Hocking Style:
Offensive
Millersport Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Millersport offense vs Federal Hocking defense - advantage Millersport
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Millersport has momentum advantage
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