Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Fairbanks 2 · Madison Plains 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Fairbanks
16
Range: 0-33.3
Madison Plains
WINNER27
Range: 9.7-44.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Madison Plains -11.2
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
44 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Madison Plains by 44.3 to Fairbanks by 23.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Fairbanks Style:
Balanced
Madison Plains Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Madison Plains offense vs Fairbanks defense - advantage Madison Plains
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Madison Plains
- Madison Plains has momentum advantage
Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.
