Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Dayton Christian 2 · Troy Christian 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Dayton Christian
21
Range: 3.7-38.3
Troy Christian
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Troy Christian -3.1
OVER/UNDER
44.5 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Troy Christian by 37.6 to Dayton Christian by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Dayton Christian Style:
Balanced
Troy Christian Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Troy Christian defense vs Dayton Christian offense - advantage Troy Christian
Insights:
- Troy Christian has momentum advantage
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