Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Crestwood 2 · Mineral Ridge 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Crestwood
17
Range: 0-34.3
Mineral Ridge
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Mineral Ridge -7.8
OVER/UNDER
42 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Mineral Ridge by 42.3 to Crestwood by 26.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Crestwood Style:
Balanced
Mineral Ridge Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Mineral Ridge offense vs Crestwood defense - advantage Mineral Ridge
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Mineral Ridge
- Mineral Ridge has momentum advantage
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