Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Conneaut 2 · Ashtabula Edgewood 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Conneaut
22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Edgewood
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Ashtabula Edgewood -3
OVER/UNDER
47 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Ashtabula Edgewood by 37.6 to Conneaut by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Conneaut Style:
Balanced
Ashtabula Edgewood Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Conneaut offense vs Ashtabula Edgewood defense - advantage Conneaut
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