Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Coldwater 2 · Fort Recovery 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Coldwater
WINNER23
Range: 5.7-40.3
Fort Recovery
21
Range: 3.7-38.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Coldwater -1.9
OVER/UNDER
44.5 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Fort Recovery by 32.6 to Coldwater by 36.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Coldwater Style:
Balanced
Fort Recovery Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Coldwater defense vs Fort Recovery offense - advantage Coldwater
Insights:
- Coldwater has momentum advantage
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