Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Celina 2 · St. Marys Memorial 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Celina
20
Range: 2.7-37.3
St. Marys Memorial
WINNER23
Range: 5.7-40.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
St. Marys Memorial -2.8
OVER/UNDER
43.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
St. Marys Memorial by 37.6 to Celina by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Celina Style:
Defensive
St. Marys Memorial Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
St. Marys Memorial defense vs Celina offense - advantage St. Marys Memorial
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
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