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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Catholic Central
Triad

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Springfield Catholic Central 2 · Triad 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Catholic Central

17

Range: 0-34.3

OSPR Rating: 34.6
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 37.5%
Offensive Rating: 15.9
Defensive Rating: 5.7
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Triad

WINNER

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 47.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 62.5%
Offensive Rating: 40.6
Defensive Rating: 36.0
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Triad -3.8

OVER/UNDER

37 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Triad by 37.3 to Springfield Catholic Central by 31.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Springfield Catholic Central Style:

Offensive

Triad Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Triad offense vs Springfield Catholic Central defense - advantage Triad

Insights:

  • Triad has momentum advantage

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