Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Butler 2 · Xenia 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Butler
WINNER29
Range: 11.7-46.3
Xenia
16
Range: 0-33.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Butler -13.3
OVER/UNDER
44.5 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
44 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Xenia by 21.6 to Butler by 46.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Butler Style:
Offensive
Xenia Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Butler defense vs Xenia offense - advantage Butler
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Butler has momentum advantage
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