Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Buckeye Trail 2 · Newark Catholic 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:13 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Buckeye Trail
15
Range: 0-32.3
Newark Catholic
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Newark Catholic -8.1
OVER/UNDER
39 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Newark Catholic by 41.3 to Buckeye Trail by 25.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Buckeye Trail Style:
Defensive
Newark Catholic Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Newark Catholic defense vs Buckeye Trail offense - advantage Newark Catholic
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Newark Catholic
- Newark Catholic has momentum advantage
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