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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Buckeye Local
Shadyside

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Buckeye Local 2 · Shadyside 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Buckeye Local

16

Range: 0-33.3

OSPR Rating: 35.3
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 20.7%
Offensive Rating: 29.1
Defensive Rating: 19.1
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Shadyside

WINNER

26

Range: 8.7-43.3

OSPR Rating: 63.7
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 79.3%
Offensive Rating: 87.2
Defensive Rating: 71.9
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Shadyside -10.1

OVER/UNDER

42.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Shadyside by 43.3 to Buckeye Local by 24.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Buckeye Local Style:

Balanced

Shadyside Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Shadyside offense vs Buckeye Local defense - advantage Shadyside

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Shadyside
  • Shadyside has momentum advantage

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