Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Medina Buckeye 2 · Keystone 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Buckeye
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
Keystone
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Keystone -7
OVER/UNDER
42 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Keystone by 40.6 to Medina Buckeye by 28.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Medina Buckeye Style:
Defensive
Keystone Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Keystone defense vs Medina Buckeye offense - advantage Keystone
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Keystone
- Keystone has momentum advantage
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