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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Bowsher
Bluffton

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Bowsher 2 · Bluffton 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Bowsher

17

Range: 0-34.3

OSPR Rating: 34.6
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 26.2%
Offensive Rating: 30.3
Defensive Rating: 0.0
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Bluffton

WINNER

25

Range: 7.7-42.3

OSPR Rating: 62.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 73.8%
Offensive Rating: 89.4
Defensive Rating: 73.8
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Bluffton -7.8

OVER/UNDER

41.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Bluffton by 42.3 to Bowsher by 26.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Bowsher Style:

Offensive

Bluffton Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Bluffton offense vs Bowsher defense - advantage Bluffton

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Bluffton
  • Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
  • Bluffton has momentum advantage

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