Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Bowling Green 2 · Oregon Clay 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Bowling Green
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
Clay
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Oregon Clay -6.7
OVER/UNDER
42 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Oregon Clay by 40.6 to Bowling Green by 28.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Bowling Green Style:
Balanced
Oregon Clay Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Oregon Clay offense vs Bowling Green defense - advantage Oregon Clay
Insights:
- Oregon Clay has momentum advantage
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