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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Boardman
Liberty

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Boardman 2 · Youngstown Liberty 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Boardman

16

Range: 0-33.3

OSPR Rating: 40.2
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 16.7%
Offensive Rating: 19.1
Defensive Rating: 52.2
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Liberty

WINNER

28

Range: 10.7-45.3

OSPR Rating: 64.9
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 83.3%
Offensive Rating: 84.1
Defensive Rating: 79.4
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Youngstown Liberty -12.1

OVER/UNDER

43.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

44 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Youngstown Liberty by 45.3 to Boardman by 22.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Boardman Style:

Defensive

Youngstown Liberty Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Youngstown Liberty defense vs Boardman offense - advantage Youngstown Liberty

Insights:

  • Youngstown Liberty has momentum advantage

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