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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Benedictine
Lutheran West

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Benedictine 2 · Lutheran West 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Benedictine

WINNER

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 59.9
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 65.8%
Offensive Rating: 40.6
Defensive Rating: 66.3
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Lutheran West

17

Range: 0-34.3

OSPR Rating: 35.9
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 34.2%
Offensive Rating: 19.1
Defensive Rating: 13.2
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Benedictine -4.9

OVER/UNDER

39 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Lutheran West by 29.6 to Benedictine by 39.3

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Benedictine Style:

Defensive

Lutheran West Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Benedictine defense vs Lutheran West offense - advantage Benedictine

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Benedictine
  • Benedictine has momentum advantage

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