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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Bellevue
Shelby

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Bellevue 2 · Shelby 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Bellevue

24

Range: 6.7-41.3

OSPR Rating: 63.6
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 44.6%
Offensive Rating: 79.7
Defensive Rating: 78.5
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Shelby

WINNER

26

Range: 8.7-43.3

OSPR Rating: 65.6
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 55.4%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 89.1
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Shelby -1.6

OVER/UNDER

49.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Shelby by 36.6 to Bellevue by 32.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Bellevue Style:

Balanced

Shelby Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Shelby offense vs Bellevue defense - advantage Shelby

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