Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Bedford 2 · Padua Franciscan 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Bedford
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Padua Franciscan
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Bedford -3.8
OVER/UNDER
40 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Padua Franciscan by 30.6 to Bedford by 38.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Bedford Style:
Defensive
Padua Franciscan Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Bedford defense vs Padua Franciscan offense - advantage Bedford
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- Padua Franciscan has momentum advantage
Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.