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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Beaver
St Clairsville

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Beaver 2 · St. Clairsville 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Beaver

WINNER

24

Range: 6.7-41.3

OSPR Rating: 63.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 69.4%
Offensive Rating: 70.1
Defensive Rating: 75.9
Momentum: Up (1.0)

St Clairsville

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 38.8
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 30.6%
Offensive Rating: 39.7
Defensive Rating: 25.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Beaver -6.1

OVER/UNDER

42.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

St. Clairsville by 28.6 to Beaver by 40.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Beaver Style:

Balanced

St. Clairsville Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Beaver offense vs St. Clairsville defense - advantage Beaver

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Beaver
  • Beaver has momentum advantage

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