Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Zanesville 2 · Newark 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:01 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Zanesville
20
Range: 2.7-37.3
Newark
WINNER23
Range: 5.7-40.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Newark -2.1
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Newark by 37.6 to Zanesville by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Zanesville Style:
Balanced
Newark Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Newark defense vs Zanesville offense - advantage Newark
Insights:
- Newark has momentum advantage
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