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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Wyoming
Monroe

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Wyoming 2 · Monroe 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Wyoming

WINNER

24

Range: 6.7-41.3

OSPR Rating: 65.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 59.7%
Offensive Rating: 85.9
Defensive Rating: 97.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Monroe

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 50.5
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 40.3%
Offensive Rating: 51.9
Defensive Rating: 44.1
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Wyoming -3

OVER/UNDER

46 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Monroe by 32.6 to Wyoming by 36.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Wyoming Style:

Defensive

Monroe Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Wyoming defense vs Monroe offense - advantage Wyoming

Insights:

  • Wyoming has momentum advantage

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