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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Wooster
Triway

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Wooster 2 · Triway 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:18 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Wooster

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 41.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 32.7%
Offensive Rating: 50.9
Defensive Rating: 51.9
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Triway

WINNER

24

Range: 6.7-41.3

OSPR Rating: 60.6
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 67.3%
Offensive Rating: 58.5
Defensive Rating: 68.7
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Triway -5.4

OVER/UNDER

43.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Triway by 39.6 to Wooster by 29.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Wooster Style:

Balanced

Triway Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Triway defense vs Wooster offense - advantage Triway

Insights:

  • Triway has momentum advantage

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