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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

West Holmes
Orrville

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

West Holmes 1 · Orrville 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

West Holmes

20

Range: 2-38

OSPR Rating: 41.2
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 34.1%
Offensive Rating: 47.3
Defensive Rating: 64.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Orrville

WINNER

25

Range: 7-43

OSPR Rating: 61.4
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 65.9%
Offensive Rating: 63.7
Defensive Rating: 96.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Orrville -4.9

OVER/UNDER

45.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Orrville by 41 to West Holmes by 31

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

West Holmes Style:

Defensive

Orrville Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Orrville defense vs West Holmes offense - advantage Orrville

Insights:

  • Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
  • Orrville has momentum advantage

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