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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Wellsville
Leetonia

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Wellsville 2 · Leetonia 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:47 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Wellsville

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 36.8
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 49.2%
Offensive Rating: 28.4
Defensive Rating: 26.6
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Leetonia

WINNER

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 49.9
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 50.8%
Offensive Rating: 24.7
Defensive Rating: 64.4
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Leetonia -0.2

OVER/UNDER

39 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Leetonia by 35.6 to Wellsville by 33.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Wellsville Style:

Balanced

Leetonia Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Leetonia defense vs Wellsville offense - advantage Leetonia

Insights:

  • Leetonia has momentum advantage

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