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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Wayne Trace
Crestview

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Wayne Trace 2 · Convoy Crestview 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Wayne Trace

WINNER

24

Range: 6.7-41.3

OSPR Rating: 52.2
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 71.8%
Offensive Rating: 49.1
Defensive Rating: 57.6
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Crestview

17

Range: 0-34.3

OSPR Rating: 37.9
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 28.2%
Offensive Rating: 20.6
Defensive Rating: 51.0
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Wayne Trace -7

OVER/UNDER

41 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Convoy Crestview by 27.6 to Wayne Trace by 41.3

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Wayne Trace Style:

Balanced

Convoy Crestview Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Wayne Trace defense vs Convoy Crestview offense - advantage Wayne Trace

Insights:

  • Convoy Crestview has momentum advantage

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