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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Warren
Logan

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Vincent Warren 2 · Logan 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Warren

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 47.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 46.8%
Offensive Rating: 24.4
Defensive Rating: 46.0
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Logan

WINNER

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 35.2
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 53.2%
Offensive Rating: 33.4
Defensive Rating: 5.7
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Logan -1

OVER/UNDER

37.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Logan by 35.6 to Vincent Warren by 33.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Vincent Warren Style:

Defensive

Logan Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Vincent Warren offense vs Logan defense - advantage Vincent Warren

Insights:

  • Logan has momentum advantage

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