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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Versailles
St Henry

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Versailles 2 · St. Henry 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:18 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Versailles

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 58.5
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 44.5%
Offensive Rating: 33.7
Defensive Rating: 71.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

St Henry

WINNER

21

Range: 3.7-38.3

OSPR Rating: 39.4
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 55.5%
Offensive Rating: 61.2
Defensive Rating: 17.9
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

St. Henry -1.6

OVER/UNDER

41 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

St. Henry by 35.6 to Versailles by 33.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Versailles Style:

Defensive

St. Henry Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Versailles offense vs St. Henry defense - advantage Versailles

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Versailles
  • Versailles has momentum advantage

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