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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Van Wert
Bath

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Van Wert 2 · Lima Bath 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Van Wert

WINNER

23

Range: 5.7-40.3

OSPR Rating: 62.2
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 60.4%
Offensive Rating: 71.6
Defensive Rating: 70.7
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Bath

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 38.8
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 39.6%
Offensive Rating: 67.8
Defensive Rating: 20.1
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Van Wert -3.2

OVER/UNDER

43.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Lima Bath by 31.6 to Van Wert by 37.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Van Wert Style:

Balanced

Lima Bath Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Van Wert offense vs Lima Bath defense - advantage Van Wert

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Van Wert
  • Van Wert has momentum advantage

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