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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Valley
Piketon

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Lucasville Valley 2 · Piketon 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Valley

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 61.5
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 40.9%
Offensive Rating: 57.8
Defensive Rating: 71.3
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Piketon

WINNER

25

Range: 7.7-42.3

OSPR Rating: 65.3
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 59.1%
Offensive Rating: 88.4
Defensive Rating: 87.2
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Piketon -2.7

OVER/UNDER

47 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Piketon by 37.6 to Lucasville Valley by 31.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Lucasville Valley Style:

Defensive

Piketon Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Piketon defense vs Lucasville Valley offense - advantage Piketon

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