Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Utica 2 · Fredericktown 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Utica
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
Fredericktown
WINNER21
Range: 3.7-38.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Fredericktown -1.8
OVER/UNDER
39.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Fredericktown by 36.6 to Utica by 32.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Utica Style:
Balanced
Fredericktown Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Fredericktown defense vs Utica offense - advantage Fredericktown
Insights:
- Fredericktown has momentum advantage
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